Forecast · FY2026

Forecast against actual

Drops landing in FY2026 · forecast of 1 Sep 2026

1,008kdown 1.7%

17k short of the 1,025k plan · 80% range 988k to 1,027k

Drops a month

Thousands of completed drops · January to December 2026

Actual, Jan to Aug 2026

622kdown 0.3%

drops, against the plan for the same eight months

Peak month, December

107.4kdown 2.4%

drops, against the 110k plan

Forecast error, Mar to Aug

1.2%

mean absolute error of the forecast made on the 1st of each month

Each month's forecast, made on the 1st, against what happened · thousands of drops

Month, 2026	Forecast	Actual	Error
Mar	73.6k	74.9k	down 1.7%
Apr	77.0k	76.3k	up 0.9%
May	78.9k	79.8k	down 1.1%
Jun	82.4k	81.5k	up 1.1%
Jul	83.0k	84.1k	down 1.3%
Aug	87.1k	86.0k	up 1.3%